At the NIGMS Feedback Loop, Jeremy Berg shares his analysis of whether peer review scores predict scientific output, and he finds that they do. Berg looked at 789 R01 grants that NIGMS funded during fiscal year 2006, linked those grants to 6,554 publications from fiscal years 2007 through 2010, and noted that those publications had been cited 79,295 times, as of this April. Berg then breaks the data down by type of citation (research, review, citation in a highly cited publication, and more), and correlates some of the metrics to percentile score. "Of these metrics, overall citations show the most statistically significant Gini coefficient, whereas highly cited publications show one of the least significant Gini coefficients." Berg writes.
Scores and Output
Jun 06, 2011